Can Obama win the National election
One might think so. Far from it. While Obama may appeal to a popular segment of the population , this segment is very small and fragile . In fact this segment, which is driven by change , changing from one position to another , is what it does. So what is obama' message: appeal gainst the status quo . The majority of the people have fear of change. Does change increase my taxes ? Does change reward the non doers? Does change create a welfare state and a state of mind? So, if Obama wins the democratic ticket, he will have a rough road ahead in the national election. My bets on Obama in wining the national election is : 2:1 tough odds